Rory, Adam and The Numbers

“Facts are stubborn things, but statistics are pliable.”

— Mark Twain

Looking over the 2016 PGA Tour statistics, something jumped out at me. Statistically, Rory McIlroy and Adam Scott enjoyed outstanding years in 2016.

Rory finished 5th in scoring average and 11th in greens in regulation. Adam Scott was even better: 4th in scoring average and 3rd in greens in regulation — a terrific performance.

What stood out? Their putting stats: Rory was ranked 163rd in total putting while Adam was 158th.

Now, there is a problem with putting statistics: the more greens you hit in regulation, the fewer opportunities you’ll have to get the ball up-and-down. You won’t see as many putts inside 5 feet as the player who’s scrambling frequently.

To lend further credence to Mark Twain’s quote above, the PGA Tour’s “putting average statistic for the same two players paints a very different picture:

  • Rory McIlroy: 19th (tie)
  • Adam Scott : 67th (tie)

Regardless, let’s look at several stats for the (15) leading scorers on the PGA Tour in 2016:

Player Scoring Rank Scoring Average Total Putting Rank Greens In Reg. Rank Scrambling Rank
Dustin Johnson 1 69.48 42 43 70
Jason Day 2 69.71 1 53 26
Jordan Spieth 3 69.72 8 146 9
Adam Scott 4 69.8 158 3 74
Rory McIlroy 5 69.97 163 11 88
Phil Mickelson 6 69.97 2 84 4
Steve Stricker 7 69.98 20 158 1
Alex Cejka 8 70.04 88 39 3
Matt Kuchar 9 70.04 16 44 34
Charles Howell III 10 70.07 66 38 44
Roberto Castro 11 70.12 116 19 62
Brooks Koepka 12 70.13 46 59 152
Hideki Matsuyama 13 70.15 84 36 46
Patrick Reed 14 70.15 44 116 8
Rickie Fowler 15 70.17 35 15 22

 

In any case, should Rory or Adam happen to get hot with the flat stick in 2017, look out.

— Billy